Markets see Google ahead for No. 1, Anthropic for the best agent
Polymarket gives Google 74 percent for the end of November and 64 percent for the end of the year. In the agent market Anthropic leads with 57 percent.
On Polymarket, Google stands at 74 percent on the question of the best AI model at the end of November. Anthropic follows with 24 percent, OpenAI with 4.1 percent. The values were read on 6 November 2026 between 23:29 and 2:55 CET.
For the end of the year, traders see Google at 64 percent, Anthropic at 31, and OpenAI at 4.5 percent. Both markets settle on No. 1 in the overall Text Arena ranking.
It is different for the best agent: there Anthropic leads with 57 percent, ahead of Google with about 19 and OpenAI with about 18 percent. This market settles on the Agent Arena ranking.
On Kalshi a contract on Gemini 4 Carbon (High) costs about 80 cents. All values are bets, not results. Sources: DeFi Rate, DeFi Rate year market, as of 6 to 7 November 2026. The month calculator is on the Overview.